Grey Dynamics

This article was written by Louis Tayler and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  Key Judgements AFRICOM’s mission in North Africa is to limit the instability caused by the second Libyan Civil War. This mission has achieved some measure of success. AFRICOM, and by extension, the United States, has a de-facto neutrality policy regarding the second Libyan […]

This article was written by Jesutimilehin Akamo and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  Key Judgements It is almost certain that most of central Africa is unstable. While Sao Tome and Principe has remained peaceful in the last decade, other countries in the region are either at the brink of conflict or have active conflicts. Oil, […]

This article was written by Ana Maria Baloi and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  This report examines the strategic concepts of AFRICOM as applied in West Africa, based on the U.S. interests in the region, military doctrine, and past experiences in other parts of the world. For collection and processing, the author used Open Source […]

This article was written by Eren Ersozoglu and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  The purpose of this Grey Dynamics Africa Intelligence Report is to analyze the benefit of Camp Lemonnier in Djibouti for America’s strategic and geopolitical purposes. Foreign presence will be assessed, and analysis will provide the implications of competing and supporting strategies on […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Eren Ersozoglu and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  This Grey Dynamics African Intelligence Article analyses the SADAT paramilitary group, and the political de facto implications placed on Turkish-African relations and security amid an increase in cooperation between Turkey and African states. Turkey’s private military contractor, SADAT, has been conducting military […]

This article was written by Jeremy Walker and originally published on Grey Dynamics. The threat posed by Iranian cyber actors has been a growing concern for the past decade, yet people have yet to see the destructive capabilities these actors could produce. Iran can affect global infrastructure, drag out and disrupt a potential Middle East […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Ana Maria Baloi and originally published on Grey Dynamics. This report examines the likelihood of a Russian power projection in West Africa, based on the country’s ambitions, military doctrine and previous and current actions in other parts of the continent Key Judgements KJ-1: Russia’s interest in Africa is […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Eren Ersozoglu and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  This Grey Dynamics African Intelligence Report analyses the ‘troll factory’ established in Africa as a means for hybrid warfare. Key Judgments KJ-1. The Russian Web Brigade has increased sophistication of the ‘troll factory’ to avoid detection. By outsourcing to Africa, operations have […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Louis Tayler and originally published on Grey Dynamics. This report seeks to offer an assessment of the recent deployment of Russian aircraft in Libya in support to the LNA. Key Judgements On a tactical level, as many as 14 Russian piloted aircraft competently used will likely increase the LNA’s […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Ana-Maria Baloi and originally published on Grey Dynamics. This report examines the benefits of using satellite imagery in countering piracy activity in the Gulf of Guinea. For collection and processing, the author used Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) and Geointelligence (GEOINT). The reconstructed scenario is based on the following key […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Eren Ersozoglu and originally published on Grey Dynamics.  Since 2012, the U.S. has accused Huawei of being a potential tool for surveillance abroad. While on the surface Huawei is not state-owned, Chinese legislation requires companies to assist in national intelligence work. And this should be viewed in the […]

Editor’s note: This article was written by Louis Tayler and originally published on Grey Dynamics. Deep in the South of Tunisia, the Groupement Territorial Saharien (GTS), a part of the Tunisian Army, protects the border areas and remote deserts of Tunisia from all who may do Tunisia harm. This includes terrorists, smugglers, those crossing borders […]