ANALYSIS: A Hezbollah-Israel war is less likely after Hariri’s resignation

Israelis are closely following the dramatic events in Lebanon. A result of the Sunni-Shia schism and the Iran-Saudi rift, the turmoil will have ramifications for the entire region, including Israel although as an observer, not as a participant.

For the Israeli political and military leadership, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s resignation on Saturday is an internal event and they have neither plans, nor aspirations to interfere or influence them.

Hezbollah knows very well that in the next war, Israel intends to take off its gloves “

Burnt twice in the wars of 1982 and 2006, Israeli military chiefs and the political leaders want to avoid repeating their past mistakes. After trying – and failing – to control the Christian Maronite Bashir Gemayel, who was elected as Lebanon’s president in 1982 but assassinated by the Syrians before he took power, they no longer dream of regime change.

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