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Morning Brief: Multipolar Bloc Warships, Army Pacific Shift, Trump on Greenland, Taiwan Grounds F-16 Fleet

BRICS navies are flexing off South Africa as the U.S. shifts Army forces toward the Indo-Pacific, Trump escalates rhetoric on owning Greenland for Arctic defense, and Taiwan searches for a missing F-16V while grounding its fleet for safety checks.

China, Russia, and Iran Bring Warships to South Africa for ‘Will for Peace 2026’ Naval Drill

Chinese, Russian, and Iranian warships have docked at Simon’s Town Naval Base near Cape Town ahead of a week-long naval exercise known as Will for Peace 2026, a BRICS-aligned drill focused on maritime strikes, counter-terrorism, and protecting shipping routes. The exercise is scheduled to begin this week and will run for several days, according to reporting by Reuters and the Associated Press.

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China is providing the most visible naval presence. According to defense reporting by South Africa’s DefenceWeb, the People’s Liberation Army Navy deployed the Type 052D guided-missile destroyer Tangshan along with the replenishment ship Taihu, underscoring Beijing’s growing blue-water reach far from home waters. The Type 052D is considered one of China’s most capable surface combatants, designed for air defense and long-range operations.

Russian participation has been confirmed by local South African media, with a surface combatant observed entering False Bay after transiting down Africa’s west coast. While the exact class was not immediately confirmed, defense analysts cited by DefenceWeb assessed the vessel as a corvette or light frigate consistent with recent Russian deployments.

Iran’s presence is drawing the most attention. The Islamic Republic Navy forward-base ship Makran, a converted oil tanker capable of supporting drones, missiles, and helicopters, arrived in South African waters ahead of the exercise.

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According to reporting by the Financial Times and the Associated Press, Makran has become a symbol of Iran’s effort to project naval power well beyond the Persian Gulf.
South Africa’s government has characterized the drill as a professional exchange focused on maritime stability and best practices. However, Reuters reported that opposition parties, including the Democratic Alliance, have criticized the exercise as undermining South Africa’s stated non-aligned posture by hosting sanctioned and adversarial states.

The timing has also raised eyebrows. The exercise was originally planned for late 2025 but delayed during South Africa’s G20 diplomacy. It now coincides with heightened global tensions involving U.S. military operations in the Western Hemisphere and growing competition with China and Russia.

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As BRICS continues to evolve beyond economics into visible military coordination, the convergence of Chinese, Russian, and Iranian warships at the Atlantic-Indian Ocean junction sends a clear signal that global maritime competition is no longer confined to the Pacific or Europe.

 

Snipers from 2nd Battalion, 23rd Infantry Regiment, 1st Stryker Brigade Combat Team, 4th Infantry Division, engage targets with M110 sniper rifles during a live-fire exercise at Rodriguez Live Fire Range, Republic of Korea, Aug. 20, 2025. Image Credit: U.S. Army Pacific

4th Infantry Division Reassigned to I Corps in U.S. Army Pacific Realignment

The Department of the Army announced this week that the 4th Infantry Division will be reassigned from III Armored Corps to America’s First Corps, effective December 5, 2025, a move that ties one of the Army’s heavy divisions more directly to operations in the Indo-Pacific.

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Under the realignment, the Fort Carson, Colorado-based division will fall under the operational and administrative control of America’s First Corps, headquartered at Joint Base Lewis-McChord, Washington. While no soldiers or units will physically relocate, the shift places the 4th Infantry Division firmly under the Army’s Pacific-focused command structure.

According to the Department of the Army, the reassignment is intended to strengthen command and control and better align training, modernization, and deployment planning with U.S. commitments in the Indo-Pacific region. America’s First Corps serves as the operational headquarters for Army forces assigned to U.S. Army Pacific and routinely deploys to command joint and multinational land forces.

Lt. Gen. Matthew McFarlane, commanding general of America’s First Corps, said the move improves the corps’ ability to project landpower across the region while supporting ongoing efforts such as Operation Pathways. He emphasized that the alignment allows for tighter synchronization of readiness and modernization efforts while maintaining deterrence against regional threats. Elements of the 4th Infantry Division have already been operating in the Pacific theater. The division’s 1st Stryker Brigade Combat Team has recently rotated through the Republic of Korea, supporting longstanding U.S. commitments on the peninsula. The reassignment formalizes an operational relationship that has already been developing through repeated regional deployments. The change does not affect the stationing of division personnel or equipment. Division headquarters and subordinate brigades will remain at Fort Carson, but America’s First Corps will now oversee training cycles, modernization priorities, and deployment schedules. America’s First Corps, based at Joint Base Lewis-McChord, is designed to deploy worldwide to command Army and joint forces, with a primary focus on maintaining stability and security in the Indo-Pacific. By aligning a heavy division under its control, the Army is reinforcing its emphasis on large-scale land operations and sustained presence in a region increasingly central to U.S. strategic planning.   Make Greenland Great Again. Image Credit: Getty Trump Says U.S. Must “Own” Greenland to Defend It Against Russia and China President Donald Trump said Friday that the United States needs to “own” Greenland to prevent Russia or China from gaining control of the strategically located Arctic territory, arguing that ownership allows for a fundamentally different and stronger defense posture than existing agreements. Speaking to reporters at the White House during a meeting with oil industry executives, Trump said Greenland’s future was a national security issue, not a diplomatic preference. “You defend ownership,” Trump said. “You don’t defend leases.” His remarks were reported by Reuters. Trump warned that failure to act could allow adversaries to establish a foothold near the United States. “We are going to do something on Greenland whether they like it or not,” he said, adding that if the United States does not act, “Russia or China will take over Greenland.” Reuters reported that Trump framed the issue as preventing hostile powers from becoming neighbors to the United States. The president also suggested he would prefer a negotiated solution, but did not rule out more forceful measures. “I would like to do it the easy way,” Trump said. “But if we don’t do it the easy way, we’re going to do it the hard way.” Those comments were reported by multiple outlets, including Reuters and ABC News. Greenland occupies a critical position between North America and Europe, sitting astride key air and maritime routes in the North Atlantic and Arctic. The United States already maintains a military presence at Pituffik Space Base, formerly Thule Air Base, which supports missile warning, space surveillance, and Arctic operations. Analysts have long viewed Greenland as central to Arctic defense, particularly as melting ice opens new sea routes, and competition with Russia and China intensifies. Greenland is a self-governing territory within the Kingdom of Denmark, a NATO ally, and both Danish officials and Greenland’s government have previously rejected any notion of U.S. acquisition. Reuters reported that European leaders have expressed concern that Trump’s remarks could strain alliance unity and raise questions about sovereignty. Trump’s comments mark a sharp escalation from past discussions focused on basing access and defense cooperation. As Arctic competition accelerates, the question now is whether Washington will pursue expanded agreements with allies or push toward a far more confrontational approach to securing Greenland’s strategic ground.     F-16 Fighting Falcon. Image Credit: Autoevolution Taiwan Expands Search for Missing F-16V as Fleet Grounded for Safety Inspections Taiwanese authorities have expanded search-and-rescue operations for a Republic of China Air Force F-16V fighter that went missing during a night training mission off Taiwan’s east coast on January 6, according to Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense. The aircraft disappeared shortly after taking off from Chia Shan Air Base, near Hualien. The pilot, Capt. Hsin Po-yi, reported a failure of the jet’s Modular Mission Computer shortly before radar contact was lost at approximately 1,700 feet. The MMC failure reportedly affected flight path and altitude display data. Taiwan’s Air Force confirmed the pilot had logged 611 flight hours. As of January 9, search efforts have been expanded south along the Taitung coastline, covering the area from Changbin Township to the Beinan River estuary. According to Taiwan’s Coast Guard Administration, more than 30 aircraft sorties, 22 vessels, 132 vehicles, and nearly 300 personnel are involved. Army units have deployed coastal sweep teams, while Black Hawk helicopters are flying low-altitude night search patterns. Officials say weather conditions continue to complicate recovery efforts. The Central Weather Administration reported wave heights of up to three meters, strong winds ranging from Force 6 to Force 9, and southward-moving currents in the search area. No wreckage or sign of the pilot has been located. In response, the Air Force has grounded Taiwan’s entire F-16 fleet, roughly 140 aircraft upgraded to the F-16V standard, for immediate inspections of mission computers. Defense Minister Koo Li-hsiung stated there was no evidence of widespread MMC failures prior to the crash but confirmed the military is accelerating efforts to install Auto-GCAS systems on older aircraft, a program currently scheduled for completion in 2028. The incident comes as China continues near-daily air defense identification zone incursions, underscoring ongoing strain on Taiwan’s pilots and airframes. Investigators say updates will follow as recovery operations continue.
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