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From Escape The Wolf

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Discussion: I agree with Joshua Keating’s comments in his September 2013 Slate Magazine article, “Why Shopping Malls are Attractive Targets for Terrorists”, where Keating suggests that the primary lesson learned from the swarming siege at the Westgate Mall in Nairobi, Kenya in September 2013 by Somali Al Shabaab jihadists is that Al Shabaab appears to have developed a global reach, and Al Qaeda is certainly not on the run.

It leads me to wonder how vulnerable we are in the U.S. to similar swarming attacks by homegrown surrogate groups or individuals. Are ideologies, motivations and relationships with larger, perhaps international sponsors relevant in our analysis to develop deterrence, preventive and response measures? Or can we develop generic prevention and response procedures that are independent of those considerations?

The idea that terrorist groups or individuals will target shopping centers for attacks is not new. Keating cites a 2006 Rand Corporation analysis warned that, “in terms of their potential role as terrorist targets, shopping centers present numerous challenges for security.” The study also reported that there have been over 60 terrorist attacks against shopping centers in 21 countries since 1998.

Shopping centers and malls can attract crowds of people, and, as the Rand study suggests, “allow unimpeded access to the public and attract a wide cross-section of the nation’s population”. Therefore, U.S. shopping malls make particularly attractive soft targets, and we can expect them to feature prominently in future attacks; it’s a threat that is unlikely to fade anytime soon. Indeed, there is evidence that international terrorists or groups have threatened to attack malls in the United States, although none of those threats or planned attacks have been implemented.