Editor’s note: This article was written by Ana-Maria Baloi and originally published on Grey Dynamics.

This report examines the benefits of using satellite imagery in countering piracy activity in the Gulf of Guinea. For collection and processing, the author used Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) and Geointelligence (GEOINT).

The reconstructed scenario is based on the following key judgments:

  • KJ-1. Piracy activity in the Gulf of Guinea is on the rise. The number of attacks is highly likely to increase in 2020, due to poor maritime security.
  • KJ-2. West African governments concerned with the piracy threat are likely to invest in satellite imagery as a cost-effective instrument for countering illegal activity on their coasts.
  • KJ-3. Satellite imagery can successfully track piracy activity in the Gulf of Guinea and serve as a preventive measure for further damages. GEOINT businesses are likely to take over the defense market in West Africa due to efficiency and real-time provided information.

Reconstructed Scenario

In 2019 alone, The International Maritime Bureau’s Piracy Reporting Centre reported 162 incidents of piracy and armed robbery against ships worldwide. This shows a decrease in the number of attacks compared to 201 reported incidents in 2018. While the overall decline in piracy incidents is an encouraging development, vessels remain at risk in several regions, especially the Gulf of Guinea.

It has been more than 10 years since piracy represents a high concern for security along the West African coastline. Although the most known case is that of Somali pirates in East Africa, the Gulf of Guinea has become in recent years a hotspot for piracy and illegal trading. Countries like Nigeria, Cameroon, Togo, and Benin are highly impacted by the piracy threat in their territorial and nearby waters, as their economies depend upon exports. In 2019, national coastguards and polices reported numerous vandalizing attacks, robberies, and kidnappings conducted on small vessels.

Piracy has also fused with organized crime operations. The Gulf of Guinea is primarily known for its opioid smuggling network. In 2018, the amount of tramadol seized in the ports of Nigeria reached 150 tons. The region is accounting for three-quarters of all tramadol seized globally. Wildlife and forestry products are also being trafficked. These include ivory, pangolin scales and rosewood.

Piracy in the area represents a consequence of inefficient governance, weak security forces, illegal activities on land, as well as poverty. While most of the administrations are concerned with the more urgent threat of terrorism and radicalization, maritime threats do not receive much attention.

The Gulf of Guinea – a Hotspot for Piracy

From 2018 to 2019, the number of crew kidnapped in the Gulf of Guinea increased by more than 50%. The cases reported by IBM in the region account for over 90% of global kidnappings at sea. The region accounted for 64 incidents including all four vessel hijackings that occurred in 2019, as well as 10 out of 11 vessels that reported coming under fire.