US troops stand watch near Rmelan, Syria in December of 2022. Image Credit AFP
As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to assume office once again, a chorus of voices from military officials, foreign policy experts, and international allies is urging him to reconsider his stance on withdrawing U.S. troops from Syria. The recent overthrow of Bashar al-Assad’s regime has created a volatile environment, and many argue that a continued American military presence is crucial for regional stability and the prevention of extremist resurgence.
The Case for Staying
The case for maintaining a U.S. military presence in Syria revolves around three primary objectives: preventing an ISIS resurgence, ensuring regional stability and influence, and maintaining strategic military positioning.
Preventing an ISIS Resurgence
Even though ISIS was territorially defeated in 2019, the group continues to pose a significant threat in Syria. The U.S. presence plays a critical role in conducting counter-terrorism operations and gathering intelligence, which is essential to keeping ISIS at bay. American forces also guard detention facilities that house ISIS fighters and their families, preventing their escape and potential regrouping. Additionally, the U.S. supports local partners like the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), who are key to maintaining security in the region.
Ensuring Regional Stability and Influence
U.S. troops in Syria help deter military incursions by the Syrian regime and Turkey into Kurdish-controlled areas. This presence also serves as a counterbalance to the growing influence of Iran and Russia in the region. Supporting Kurdish allies not only ensures their security but also gives the U.S. leverage in shaping Syria’s future political landscape.
Strategic Military Positioning
American forces in Syria control critical airspace over the northeast and maintain a base at Al-Tanf. These strategic positions allow for intelligence collection and targeted raids against ISIS leadership. These capabilities are vital for monitoring and responding to threats in the region.
As President-elect Donald Trump prepares to assume office once again, a chorus of voices from military officials, foreign policy experts, and international allies is urging him to reconsider his stance on withdrawing U.S. troops from Syria. The recent overthrow of Bashar al-Assad’s regime has created a volatile environment, and many argue that a continued American military presence is crucial for regional stability and the prevention of extremist resurgence.
The Case for Staying
The case for maintaining a U.S. military presence in Syria revolves around three primary objectives: preventing an ISIS resurgence, ensuring regional stability and influence, and maintaining strategic military positioning.
Preventing an ISIS Resurgence
Even though ISIS was territorially defeated in 2019, the group continues to pose a significant threat in Syria. The U.S. presence plays a critical role in conducting counter-terrorism operations and gathering intelligence, which is essential to keeping ISIS at bay. American forces also guard detention facilities that house ISIS fighters and their families, preventing their escape and potential regrouping. Additionally, the U.S. supports local partners like the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), who are key to maintaining security in the region.
Ensuring Regional Stability and Influence
U.S. troops in Syria help deter military incursions by the Syrian regime and Turkey into Kurdish-controlled areas. This presence also serves as a counterbalance to the growing influence of Iran and Russia in the region. Supporting Kurdish allies not only ensures their security but also gives the U.S. leverage in shaping Syria’s future political landscape.
Strategic Military Positioning
American forces in Syria control critical airspace over the northeast and maintain a base at Al-Tanf. These strategic positions allow for intelligence collection and targeted raids against ISIS leadership. These capabilities are vital for monitoring and responding to threats in the region.
Recent developments further strengthen the argument for keeping U.S. forces in Syria. ISIS attacks in the region tripled in 2024, with around 700 incidents reported. These attacks have become increasingly sophisticated and deadly. The overthrow of Assad’s government has created a power vacuum that ISIS could exploit, highlighting the ongoing need for a stabilizing force. In December 2024 alone, U.S. airstrikes targeted 75 ISIS positions, demonstrating the persistent threat the group poses.
Proponents of maintaining a U.S. presence argue that withdrawing troops could have severe consequences. A pullout could lead to a resurgence of ISIS, potentially freeing thousands of detained fighters to regroup and launch attacks. Kurdish allies, who rely on U.S. support, would become more vulnerable to aggression from regional powers. Moreover, a withdrawal would likely shift regional power dynamics in favor of adversaries like Iran and Russia.
Concerns Over Withdrawal
The withdrawal of U.S. forces could severely impact counterterrorism efforts. Without American support, Kurdish fighters may be forced to halt operations against ISIS. This could lead to the release of thousands of detained ISIS fighters, increasing the risk of renewed terrorist activity. Such developments could also heighten the likelihood of terrorist attacks against the West, including the United States.
Damage to U.S. Credibility
Abandoning Kurdish allies who have fought alongside U.S. forces could undermine trust in America as a reliable security partner. This loss of credibility could make it harder to build future alliances and collaborations in the region and beyond.
Humanitarian Concerns
Finally, withdrawing troops could exacerbate chaos and suffering in the region, particularly for vulnerable populations. Without a stabilizing force, civilians in Syria could face increased violence and displacement, worsening the ongoing humanitarian crisis.
Given these concerns, many experts argue that maintaining a U.S. military presence in Syria is essential. It ensures regional stability, supports counterterrorism efforts, and protects U.S. strategic interests in the Middle East. A premature withdrawal could have dire consequences, making it a decision that requires careful consideration.
Strategic Importance of Al-Tanf
The Al-Tanf military base in southeastern Syria is a key strategic asset for the United States, serving multiple critical purposes in the region.
Counter-terrorism operations are a primary focus of Al-Tanf. The base acts as a crucial outpost for combating ISIS remnants, providing training for Syrian opposition fighters and facilitating operations against terrorist groups. Its location plays a pivotal role in disrupting hostile activities and blocking the Assad regime from fully defeating anti-government opposition in the Syrian desert. Additionally, it cuts off ground transportation links between Iran and Syria, disrupting Iranian proxy activities.
The geopolitical significance of Al-Tanf cannot be overstated. Positioned at the intersection of Syria’s borders with Iraq and Jordan, the base provides the U.S. with a strategic foothold to maintain influence over Syria’s future. It also serves as a bargaining chip in diplomatic negotiations, complicating plans by Russia, Iran, and Syria while providing leverage for the U.S. to shape the region’s long-term outlook.
Al-Tanf also supports regional allies, acting as a security point for Israeli operations in Syria and facilitating U.S.-Israeli intelligence collaboration. Furthermore, its location along the M2 Baghdad-Damascus Highway allows the U.S. to monitor and control a critical transportation route that connects Iraq and Syria, ensuring control over a vital piece of infrastructure.
The base’s importance extends to humanitarian efforts as well. The Rukban refugee camp, which shelters internally displaced Syrians, is located within the deconfliction zone around Al-Tanf.This adds a humanitarian dimension to the base’s operations, providing security and stability for vulnerable populations in the area.
As of 2025, Al-Tanf remains the headquarters for the Syrian Free Army, with approximately 200 U.S. soldiers stationed there as part of the CJTF-OIR Coalition. Despite its strategic value, the base has faced criticism and attacks, particularly from Iranian-backed militias seeking to push American forces out of Syria. Nevertheless, Al-Tanf’s multifaceted role in counter-terrorism, regional stability, and humanitarian support underscores its continued importance in U.S. military strategy.
International Perspectives
Several international allies have expressed significant concerns about the potential consequences of a U.S. withdrawal from Syria, emphasizing the complex geopolitical implications of such a move.
Israel is particularly alarmed by the possibility of a power vacuum in Syria, which they believe could lead to increased Iranian influence and a stronger presence of hostile forces near their borders. This situation could destabilize the region further, prompting Israel to pressure the U.S. to maintain its military presence or at least secure assurances from Turkey to ensure regional stability.
Kurdish allies, especially the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), who have been instrumental in the fight against ISIS, are deeply concerned about their security without U.S. support. A withdrawal could leave them vulnerable to Turkish military incursions, increased pressure from the Syrian regime, and potential conflicts with other regional powers.
Arab partners, including Gulf states and other Arab allies, are also wary of the potential fallout from a U.S. withdrawal. They fear a resurgence of ISIS in the region, along with a growing influence of Iran and Russia, which could force them to reassess and reshape their own strategies in Syria to maintain stability.
European allies, while not always explicitly mentioned, have historically expressed concerns about the ripple effects of instability in the Middle East. They worry about the potential for new waves of refugees, the spread of terrorism, and broader security threats that could impact Europe directly.
These concerns highlight the intricate web of relationships and interests that the U.S. must consider when evaluating any plans to withdraw troops from Syria. Allies across the globe expect Washington to take the lead in coordinating a collective response to the challenges posed by a post-Assad Syria, underscoring the ongoing importance of U.S. engagement in the region.
Summation
While the desire to disengage from prolonged conflicts is understandable, the situation in Syria presents unique challenges that necessitate a continued U.S. military presence. The risks associated with a complete withdrawal—including the resurgence of extremist groups, regional instability, and the loss of strategic influence—outweigh the benefits of disengagement. As President-elect Trump assumes office, he faces a critical decision that will impact Syria and the broader security and stability of the Middle East.
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