The brewing conflict between President Donald Trump and Elon Musk is more than a political sideshow—it could have serious consequences for national defense. The U.S. government leans heavily on Musk’s companies, especially SpaceX, for everything from launching spy satellites to keeping astronauts safe in orbit. Now, with Trump threatening to yank federal contracts over personal grievances, key military and space operations could be in jeopardy.

SpaceX holds roughly $22 billion in government contracts tied to missions for NASA and the Pentagon. These aren’t just big-dollar deals—they’re essential to meeting the operational goals of the United States.

SpaceX is scheduled to carry out over two dozen national security launches in the next few years. If those are delayed or scrapped, the Pentagon’s National Security Space Launch program takes a direct hit, and critical satellite operations could be left grounded. On top of that, SpaceX’s Dragon spacecraft is currently the only ride American astronauts have to and from the International Space Station. A service disruption would pose risks to the lives of the astronauts and could derail future plans to return to the Moon.

But it’s not only about launches. SpaceX is also building a fleet of surveillance satellites for the Department of Defense. Cutting those off could blind U.S. intelligence and raise serious alarms within the national security community. Meanwhile, the Starlink satellite network—another Musk venture—has become a backbone for secure military communication around the globe, including in war zones like Ukraine. Pulling the plug on that service could cripple operations abroad.

From a practical standpoint, unwinding the government’s deep ties with SpaceX (and to a lesser extent, Tesla) wouldn’t be easy. Legally, operationally, and technologically, it would be a bureaucratic nightmare. Worse yet, sidelining Musk’s companies could slow innovation across the defense sector. SpaceX did more than make rockets cool again—it forced competitors to get leaner, faster, and better.

In short, this falling out isn’t about personalities. It’s about national readiness. The Trump-Musk standoff risks destabilizing a critical piece of America’s defense infrastructure at a time when the country can least afford it. If these threats turn into action, the fallout won’t stay confined to Twitter—it’ll be felt in orbit, on the battlefield, and throughout the defense industrial base.