For those who have been following the events in Ukraine, the reasons for Russia’s intervention are pretty clear, but they also point to what is likely to occur in the future.
Russia has always seen Ukraine as part of Russia. Henry Kissinger wrote an op-ed for the Washington Post: “Russian history began in what was called Kievan-Rus. The Russian religion spread from there. Ukraine has been part of Russia for centuries, and their histories were intertwined before then. Some of the most important battles for Russian freedom, starting with the Battle of Poltava in 1709, were fought on Ukrainian soil.” This doesn’t excuse Russian action, but it is important in understanding them.
STRATFOR has an excellent article on the geopolitics of the region. Geopolitics doesn’t explain or predict all foreign affairs but it is a very helpful theory in understanding the international order. In short, Russia doesn’t have a natural obstacle between it and Europe inviting invaders, like Napoleon and Hitler, who were defeated by over extending themselves deep into Russia, and by Old Father Winter. Ukraine is key to creating that space.
Sevastopol is what passes for Russia’s ONLY warm water port. It’s a poor solution. Turkey, a member of NATO, controls the Strait of Dardanelles. If Russia doesn’t get its Navy out of the Black Sea before war starts, it has to run the extremely risky option of trying to force the strait under fire to get to the Mediterranean, which has another choke point called Gibraltar. Like I said, it’s a poor warm water port, but it’s the only one Russia has that doesn’t need a slow icebreaker to exit during the winter.
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This is a European Problem. Let them figure it out. If they are unable or unwilling to deal with it what is the alternative. Oh yeah wait for the USA to bail them out. With BHO as the COOTUS (Community Organizer Of The United States) that isn't going to happen. Even it did what kind of ROE would our troops be dealing with. If we can't bomb and shot ala' WW2 we shouldn't go period. We have to win a war by making the enemy quit because they are all dead or surrender. Otherwise we don't have a victory.
majrod, . The following quote is the words of Fox News contributor Charles Krauthammer, on the Fox News show Special Report with Bret Baier, on March 4, 2014. AND NOW, A WORD FROM CHARLES… “That’s not a blink. That’s a KGB agent lying through his teeth, which is what they train to do for all of their lives. I mean, when Hitler went into the Sudetenland, he claimed it was in response to a desire on the part of the population. This is what all dictators do. The idea that somehow it’s a blink, because he’s waiting to see if he wants to take the rest of Ukraine, and that’s a sign of weakness? I think it’s delusional.” – Charles Krauthammer, on “Special Report with Bret Baier” You can read the full text of the “Special Report” show at http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/03/05/from-reset-button-to-nazi-talk-hillary-hawk-returns/ . -YP-
majrod Looks like a classic Russian set up for a smash and dash into Ukraine. BTW China throwing weight around - "The United States on Wednesday accused China of raising tensions by blocking two Philippines vessels as it urged freedom of navigation in the tense South China Sea. The United States, a treaty-bound ally of Manila, said it was "troubled" by Sunday's incident in which China prevented movement of two ships contracted by the Philippine navy to deliver supplies and troops to the disputed Second Thomas Shoal"
NYT http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/14/world/europe/ukraine.html today that Russia massing troops again on Ukraine border. Selected excerpts... "In Moscow, the military acknowledged significant operations involving armored and airborne troops in the Belgorod, Kursk and Rostov regions abutting eastern Ukraine, where many ethnic Russians have protested against the new interim government in Ukraine’s capital, Kiev, and appealed to Moscow for protection. On Wednesday, the head of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, Andriy Parubiy, claimed that Russian forces near the border totaled more than 80,000 solders, 270 tanks, 370 artillery systems and 140 combat aircraft. Aleksandr Golts, an author and military analyst, noted that the operations were not training exercises like the huge one Mr. Putin ordered at the end of February that require notification of neighboring states under a series of conventional arms agreements. He added that the operations were clearly intended as a warning of Russia’s readiness to intervene, if necessary, noting that the parachute drop was on a scale not seen since the collapse of the Soviet Union. They also served to tie down Ukraine’s beleaguered military and prevent any effort to challenge the secession of Crimea. “The goal is very clear: not to permit Ukrainian troops from moving toward Crimea,” he said. He later met with his national security council in Sochi." A referendum is scheduled in Crimea this weekend (moved up two weeks). It offers two choices, a separate Crimea or joining Russia. Waiting on a statement from the administration regarding the latest news...
majrod Fred82 YankeePapa I would say that both parties promote international law etc., though I would agree that one promotes it more than the other. That said, it must be remembered that many of the current politicians came of age in the same era (1960s) while both Democrats and Republicans are products of the same educational system. There also seems to be a shrinking number of politicians who have ever served in combat or even uniform.