The following article first appeared on Warrior Maven, a Military Content Group member website.

For many years now, the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Air Force has been working to convert its fleet of emerging YU-20 cargo planes into tankers, an effort that may greatly expand the air combat reach of the PLA. As part of this growing equation, the PLA has demonstrated the ability of its reconfigured Y-20 cargo planes to refuel land and carrier-launched J-15 aircraft. A Chinese newspaper announced this capability as far back as several years ago, a scenario indicating that the capability is likely to be far more advanced now.

A YU-20 tanker aircraft of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force and a J-15 carrier-based fighter jet of the PLA Navy have conducted their first in-flight refueling exercise…. this exercise has displayed the systematic integration among different PLA services and will enhance the capabilities of Chinese aircraft carriers,” the Chinese-backed Global Times newspaper reported a few years ago.

US & Allied Tactical Air Superiority in the Pacific

This development, should it continue to mature in coming years and expand into a larger fleet of PLA tankers, could begin to erode the massive US air superiority advantage in the Pacific. With forward-positioned US Navy amphibious, each capable of sailing with as many as 20 F-35B and carrier-based F-35Cs, it has not been unrealistic to posit that the US Navy and its allies might be positioned to counter, destroy, or fully stop a Chinese amphibious assault on Taiwan. The USS America, for instance, the Navy’s first America-class amphibious assault ship, has already deployed with as many as 13 F-35Bs.

This is particularly true if the US uses its advanced fleet of attack submarines and Japan and South Korea are able to marshall an F-35 force as well.

Japan has, in recent years, made a massive, multi-billion F-35 buy, and both Singapore and South Korea are F-35 customers as well. Therefore, it seems clear that should the US Navy be sufficiently forward positioned, the US and its allies are likely to quickly establish air superiority. The presence of networked 5th-generation US Navy and allied aircraft would, it seems, be well positioned to achieve overmatch above the PLA Navy and Air Force in the air.

Chinese J-20s can only be launched from land, and the J-31 carrier-launched 5th-generation aircraft do not seem to have sufficient numbers. Therefore, the PLA would likely have trouble establishing sufficient air support above an amphibious attack. This is likely why the US Navy continues to increase its forward presence in the Pacific with things like dual-carrier operations and regular multi-national combat training and preparation in the Pacific theater.

However, all of this context is critical to this key development, should China succeed in closing its air-power deficit in the Pacific theater.