While India and China have previously adopted protocols to minimize the risk of conflict, including an agreement not to use firearms, these agreements have become increasingly fragile. This border situation has implications not only for China-India relations but also for global geopolitics.
China’s Diplomatic Dilemma: Missed Opportunities and Mixed Signals
Notably, President Xi’s absence at the G20 summit eliminates the possibility of an interaction with United States President Joe Biden. China-US relations remain at a historic low despite recent visits by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and other officials to Beijing. Speculation regarding Xi’s nonattendance had been circulating for days, and President Biden had already expressed his expectations of not meeting with the Chinese leader. This development also raises questions about Xi’s attendance at the November Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum leader’s gathering in San Francisco.
China has demanded that the US extend an invitation to Hong Kong’s Chief Executive John Lee to the forum, despite a US visa ban on Lee due to his role in suppressing Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement.
A post on the Ministry of State Security’s social media site accused the US of sending mixed signals to China as part of a strategy of “obstruction, containment, and suppression.” The post highlighted the need for sincerity in bilateral relations, referencing the most recent meeting between the two leaders at last November’s G20 summit on the Indonesian island of Bali.
Xi Jinping’s Leadership and China’s Global Posture
President Xi Jinping, who holds more domestic power than any Chinese leader since Mao Zedong, has pursued an increasingly assertive approach to China’s territorial interests in the South China Sea and towards Taiwan, which China threatens to annex by force if necessary.
Simultaneously, China has faced economic challenges as it seeks to recover from the stringent COVID-19 control measures. Foreign businesses have also voiced concerns about the increasingly complex environment for investment and trade in the country.
Putin ALSO Skips G20 Summit
It’s important to note that President Xi will not be the only foreign head of state absent from the G20 summit. Russian President Vladimir Putin, who faces war crimes charges over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, will also skip the summit, although he does plan to visit close partner China next month.
Kremlin: Putin won't attend G20 summit in India https://t.co/UJa4uI6vcj pic.twitter.com/AwhTrYMuEU
— Voice of Europe 🌍 (@V_of_Europe) August 25, 2023
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Wrapping up, President Xi Jinping’s decision to skip the G20 summit in India and the appointment of Premier Li Qiang as his replacement reflect the escalating tensions in China-India relations, driven by territorial disputes, trade frictions, and strategic rivalries.
Xi’s absence also highlights the challenges in China-US relations, eliminating the prospect of an essential meeting with President Biden. The delicate border situation between China and India remains a critical concern with broader regional implications.
China’s demand for Hong Kong’s inclusion in international forums and allegations of mixed signals from the US adds to China’s diplomatic challenges. President Xi’s assertive approach to territorial disputes and economic difficulties further complicates China’s global posture.
Meanwhile, the absence of Russian President Vladimir Putin at the G20 summit underscores the complex diplomatic landscape faced by global leaders. Overall, these developments signal a shifting geopolitical landscape in Asia and beyond.








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