The situation in northwest Syria has reached dangerous levels with the Syrian, Russian, and Turkish armies on a collision course. The United Nations is warning that the deteriorating situation could result in a “bloodbath” unless the sides can agree to a ceasefire.

Airstrikes by the Russians, in support of the Syrian government of Bashar Assad, on Thursday killed two Turkish soldiers and wounded five more around Idlib. The Turks responded with heavy strikes against government troops that killed more than 50.

The Turkish army has lost 15 soldiers in just the last three weeks, as the Syrians, backed by Russian airpower, are increasingly aggressive in trying to stamp out the last bit of rebel resistance in Idlib province. 

Although Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has cozied up to Russia in the past several years and grown increasingly hostile to the United States, he has asked the U.S. to deploy Patriot Missile batteries to protect Turkish troops from air attacks. That is a major shift with the government of Turkey and Russia now on a collision course. The Russian Defense Ministry released a statement that their SU-24 attack aircraft carried out airstrikes to stop a move by Syrian rebels that were backed by Turkish artillery.

Russian troops in Syria.

For now, the Turks are in a holding pattern with the United States, who has yet to answer the request to deploy Patriot missiles. The Turks are now rethinking their antagonism with Washington over this escalation with the Russians.

“There may be a Patriot battery support,” Turkey’s Defense Minister Hulusi Akar said in an interview on Thursday. He added that Ankara is hoping for similar support from European allies.

“Turkey is determined to use force to ensure a cease-fire in Idlib,” Akar said. “Russia should not intervene in Turkey’s actions in Idlib, Turkey has no intention to face off with Russia.”

Turkey’s problem is that it has already received millions of refugees from Syria. Idlib is home to nearly three million Syrians and this offensive by the Syrian government could unleash as many as two million more refugees streaming toward the Turkish frontier. Turkey, as part of the agreement with Russia in 2018, is trying to establish a control zone in the Idlib area in which they are backing the enemy of the Russians and Syrians.