Operational Briefing of Hostilities (12 JUL 22)

Map by George Barros, Kateryna Stepanenko, Noel Mikkelsen, and Daniel Mealie courtesy of the Institute for the Study of War and AEI’s Critical Threats Project.

Russian forces failed to launch offensive operations on the central southern axis on 11 JUL 22, instead focusing their efforts on maintaining defensive positions. They have, however, continued artillery strikes along the entire southern line of contact. Ukrainian Intelligence reported that Russian fighter jets launched four Kh-31 missiles at an unnamed Black Sea coastal settlement and three Kh-31 missiles at an unspecified agricultural center in Odesa from Crimean airspace.

Ukrainian forces are targeting Russian ammunition depots and command centers in Kherson and Zaporizhia Oblast. An advisor to the Kherson Oblast Military Administration, Serhiy Khlan, has reported that their troops have struck an enemy command and equipment center in Tavriisk, which is 62 km east of Kherson City.

Khlan reported that the Russians had moved a military equipment reloading site from Oleskhy (5km southeast of Kherson City) to Radensk (25km southeast of Kherson City) in response to increased Ukrainian strikes on their military infrastructure in the vicinity of Kherson City. He went on to state that the Russians are preparing for urban warfare if a Ukrainian counteroffensive reaches Kherson City. They have significantly strengthened security and filtration measures in that area of operations.

In addition, the Ukrainian Strategic Communications Center noted that their forces had struck a Russian ammunition depot in Tokmak, approximately 50km northeast of Melitopol, a city of 150,000.

Russian forces continue to face desertion and personnel shortages. Multiple outlets have published an image of a billboard listing 300 servicemen of the 205th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade of the 49th Combined Arms Army who refused to participate in the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The Russian 205th was deployed to Mariupol and Zaporizhia Oblast on 3 MAR 22. Billboards like this one support Ukrainian leadership assertions of mass desertions on the Russian side.