General Thierry Burkhard, the French Army’s Chief of Staff, believes that a major conflict is now a relative possibility. He has a strategic plan to flip the French military from an emphasis on asymmetric warfare to symmetric and to toughen it up by 2030.

Burkhard, who was the Commander of the Combined Operations Center, the 13th Demi-Brigade, and a paratrooper in the French Foreign Legion sees aggressive Chinese expansion in the Pacific and feels that France’s territories in New Caledonia and French Polynesia could become endangered. French armed forces will have to be ready. 

Burkhard presented a 20-page document to the National Assembly’s defense committee on Wednesday. Burkhard’s blueprint, entitled “Operational security 2030,” was put together by a group of senior military leaders. The group worked on the plan from August through October of last year. It was discussed by Army cadre until all of the details were agreed upon in January. But the coronavirus pandemic delayed the release of it until last week. 

Back in April, French military leaders spoke about being prepared for a return of “High-Intensity Conflicts.” Burkhard said that implementing the plan is critical because a “recurrence of a major conflict is now a credible hypothesis.”

But the document presented by Gen. Burkhard also warns that “there are new means of using force, unforeseeable and more insidious, based on intimidation and manipulation, in a new type of warfare, undetectable and disclaimed, to obtain undeniable strategic gains by imposing a fait accompli.”

“The world is evolving quickly enough and badly enough,” Burkhard said, pointing to a growth in the pace of conflicts and an “uninhibited re-militarization.” The French Army had “imagined [such ] a situation [existing in] 2035… But in 2020, a certain number of check-boxes are already ticked.” 

France, Burkhard said, was nearing “the end of a stage of conflicts” that had been marked by interventions in the Sahel and Afghanistan, which have been characterized as asymmetric warfare. The army expects new, “symmetric” conflicts, “state against state,” Burkhard.

Cyber and information technology conflicts will be a significant part of future conflicts, according to the French report. To “acquire operational superiority,” the French Army must improve its capabilities in the electromagnetic environment, space, cyberspace, and information technology, the report said.