Rezantsev was commander of the 49th Combined Arms Army of the Southern Military District of Russia. The unit can trace its heritage back to 1941, following the German invasion of the Soviet Union. Rezantsev assumed command of the unit in August of 2020.

A Poor Prediction

According to a conversation intercepted by Ukrainian intelligence, Rezantsev was quite confident that the Russian military campaign would be successful in only a matter of hours.

Bits of the conversation was posted on social media. In it, a Russian soldier comments to his superior:

“Here, Rezantsev is in charge. We only met him once since we arrived here … It was the 4th day and you know what he said? Get this: ‘It’s no secret that this operation is going to be over in mere hours’.”

It Is No Coincidence

Sources from inside Volodymyr Zelensky’s inner circle have reported to the Wall Street Journal that Ukraine has an intelligence team dedicated to targeting high-ranking Russian officers. It makes sense. Seeing your generals die off does not do wonders for the morale of the common soldier.

And it’s not just generals:

The Kremlin is supposedly furious at the loss of some of its top leaders. Accordingly, the deaths coincide with numerous reports of unreliable equipment, poorly fed troops with low morale, and subordinate leaders too terrified to make quick decisions.

One main reason for the loss of so many high-ranking officers can be traced to the rigid structure of the Russian military itself. Generals are given broad strategic authority, which they execute at the command level, but they are notoriously involved at the tactical level as well. As a result, small-unit leadership is poor in the modern Russian army. Senior leaders are expected to lead from the front.

Junior leaders are largely unable to act on their initiative. Instead, they rely heavily on colonels and above to become involved in decision-making and plan execution that would typically occur at much lower levels in western military forces.

Their command structure is inflexible, and senior leaders are untrusting of mid-level leaders who take the initiative. This rigidity is directly leading to multiple senior officer deaths on the battlefield.

As we’ve previously reported, the Russian have modern communications gear with encryption but it required a 3G or 4G network that the Russians foolishly destroyed in Ukraine, leaving them using VHF/UHF radios and cell phones to talk with.  UHF/VHF can not only be jammed easily but also intercepted and the position of a person using a cell phone can be easily located as well.  The Ukrainians are doing a very good job at signals intelligence and locating senior Russian leaders because Russian communications methods and discipline is so terribly bad.