Since the military annexation of Crimea by Russian forces in 2014, NATO has adopted a far more aggressive posture throughout much of Eastern Europe. Aware that the satellite commands established throughout the region would be insufficient to halt a full-fledged Russian invasion, these NATO elements are instead tasked with early detection and, if need be, serving as the last line of defense to hold off such an incursion until a more formidable NATO force could be assembled.

Because much of the emphasis in the media has been about NATO’s buildup throughout Europe, an issue with perception has begun to arise. People regularly hear about more U.S. troops deploying to Europe and discussions about standing up new command elements with partnered nations, but the threat they’re working to deter is usually summed up in quotations and postulation: the “Russian menace” is often nothing more than a vague what if in the minds of readers getting a legitimate play-by-play of NATO’s actions; leaving many to postulate that the true aggressor is actually NATO itself.

As is so often that case, however, perception isn’t always an accurate reflection of reality. While most NATO nations, in particular, the United States utilize a free press and a great deal of transparency with its citizens, Russia has no such concerns about keeping their populous (or the world’s, for that matter) informed about their military endeavors. This was apparent in the months leading up to last year’s Zapad military exercises, which saw Russia training alongside Belarus to simulate open war on Europe’s eastern flank. Because Russian statements regarding the event were so conspicuously misleading and inaccurate, analysts were left to offer best guesses as to the full size of the Russian force in Belarus and nearby satellite Kaliningrad, and as the drills neared completion, there was again little more to go on that satellite images to determine just how much heavy equipment Russia left in the vicinity of the Baltics — transported in under the guise of participating in the drills and then left as an intentional supplement to forces engaged in a future conflict.

An estimated 40,000 to 50,000 troops participated in the drills last year, far exceeding the 13,000 Russia claimed. | Russian MOD

This level of secrecy allows Russia to play the role of victim in much of their international dialogue when it comes to escalating tensions in the region. A common facet of outgoing communications from the Kremlin has become the idea of an “anti-Russia conspiracy.” Some national governments have been accused of playing a role in this aggressive “plan” to vilify the Russian nation on the world’s stage, including the U.S. for its accusations of election meddling and the U.K. for its allegations of nerve agent attacks within their borders.