We Kinda Predicted This Would Happen.
Back on May 12, Newsweek reached out to us to ask about how much longer the war could go on. We looked at some estimates of what Russia was burning through in terms of men, equipment, and the cost of imposed sanctions and told Newsweek that in our considered opinion, Russia would not last much longer than 90 days more.
On August 29th, Ukraine launched an offensive that has proven stunningly effective. In the North, they have all but routed Russian forces and large pockets of Russian troops are cut off and trapped. We think as many as 15,000 may be forced to surrender. The rest seem to be trying to get back across the border into Russia like they have rockets strapped to their boots.