The Blowback Effect: How America’s Foreign Policy Decisions Have Led to Unintended Consequences

From the foundations of this nation, which veered towards a global player under Teddy Roosevelt, to become the undisputed world power with an economy and intact military post-WWII, America has had a comprehensive foreign policy for decades. Unfortunately, due to complacency and recklessness, foreign policy decisions have resulted in the blowback that the country and the world suffer today.

The term ‘blowback’ originates from the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). With foreign policy risks came unintended and harmful consequences to the nation or allies due to unwarranted side effects from covert operations. There have been several notable covert actions that ultimately came to light due to leaks or Americans directly suffering from the activities of the government.

Operation Ajax

In the aftermath of World War Two, the United States had several vital allies in the Middle East before intertwining with the Gulf Monarchies and Israel. These included a then-Maronite-dominated Lebanon and the Imperial State of Iran.

Despite having excellent relations with Iran, America’s geopolitical interests came at a crossroads when Tehran’s then charismatic Prime Minister, Mohammad Mossadegh, wanted to nationalize the Persian oil fields away from the Anglo-Iranian and Arabian-American oil companies. Mossadegh had consolidated power enough to send the Shah and some pro-monarch officers into their first exile, which raised the alarm in both Washington and London.

The operation to overthrow Mossadegh was conducted between the CIA and British MI6, with Washington being skeptical of inflaming the situation as a nationalist fever could’ve been traced to the US, according to declassified documents. Nevertheless, Ajax succeeded; the Prime Minister was jailed, and the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company was renamed British Petroleum (BP).

Though Ajax was successful, the coup had negative impacts on the region to this day. Not only was it the first regime change operation of the CIA in the Middle East, but the coup had only heightened anti-Western and anti-Shah sentiments in Iran. Mossadegh was the closest thing modern Iran had ever had to a democratic leader.

The conservative theocratic hardliners who already hated the Western lifestyle would stage protests calling for an Islamic state while the more secular liberals became distrustful of America. These factors led to the stages of the rise of the Mullahs and the Iranian Revolution in 1979.

Secret Meetings with China

At the height of the Cold War, the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact became the most significant national security threat to the United States. With Soviet influence growing in East Asia, Africa, Latin America, and the Middle East, the US government wanted to open a second front against the USSR by any means.

Then-Secretary of State Henry Kissinger wanted to formalize relations with the People’s Republic of China, which had strayed from its relationship with the USSR after the Sino-Soviet Split. Relations could not be normalized unless several conditions were made—Washington had to recognize the PRC over Taiwan (ROC) and give support to Pakistan over India, which the latter was a pro-Soviet state.

Not only was Taiwan’s international status de-platformed, but the US became interested in Pakistan’s brutal history, such as the Bangladeshi Genocide and their backing of hardline Islamic militants. The US would also quietly support the Khmer Rouge alongside China, further damaging the American reputation during the Cold War.

The People’s Republic of China would become a juggernaut and ultimately the biggest adversary of America today. Now the country the US helped prop up to become a second front to the Soviet Union is Washington’s most significant geopolitical threat.

Backing Saddam

In the aftermath of the Iranian Revolution, which saw the overthrow of the American-friendly Shah and US diplomats held hostage for 444 days, the new Islamic Republic became the most significant geopolitical threat to Washington in the region. Tensions ran high as the Mullahs wanted to export their revolution to other nations, posing a direct threat to US allies and forces directly. One such nation was Lebanon, where the Iranian-created militia, Hezbollah, blew up the Marine Barracks and US embassy during the Lebanese Civil War.

Saddam’s Iraq was a Sunni-dominated Baathist dictatorship, which was ideologically different from the Islamic Republic. When Saddam invaded Iran, this was an opportunity for the US government to get revenge on Iran potentially.

Saddam was backed and funded by various nations, including the United States. Donald Rumsfeld had personally met Saddam to advise and assist their military. The war was vicious with human waves tactics, chemical weapons usage, numerous instances of torture, and over one million people were killed on both sides. The war ended in the same status quo as the beginning, with Iran and Iraq worse off than before.

Despite the frozen conflict, Saddam gained a reputation for being the most feared tyrant in the region. He would later declare war against Kuwait and threaten Saudi Arabia and Israel. The Baathists would be on the CIA’s radar for years, ultimately leading to one of the worst foreign policy decisions in US history.

The War In Iraq

The US invasion of Iraq has had lasting and damaging consequences on American foreign policy, more so than the Vietnam War. Under the guise of removing Saddam due to his “WMDs” and “connections to al-Qaeda,” both pretexts fell flat on the global stage only a few months after the initial push.

The initial invasion goals were successful—Saddam was captured, and the Baathists were overthrown, but it became apparent Washington had no clue on how to nation-build. Disbanding the Iraqi army, the one force necessary to keep the country from becoming a powder keg, was a grave mistake. Social services faltered, and sectarianism rose—the perfect equation for militant groups.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq fought American troops extensively during the powder keg, and Iran gained a foothold in the nation. Sunni and Shiite militant groups frequently clashed, and the death toll climbed dramatically. Iraq’s destabilization affected other countries in the region as al-Qaeda in Iraq morphed into the notorious ISIS militant group later on.

Operation Cyclone

Arguably the most controversial blowback came from the aftermath of Operation Cyclone. The operation occurred at the height of the Soviet-Afghan War. The CIA, Pakistani, Saudi, and Chinese intelligence would funnel weaponry to the Mujahideen in Afghanistan against the Red Army.

Many of the recipients of Cyclone were not adequately vetted, and some of those trained would later become hardline Islamists. Some of those trained and armed included Gulbuddin Hekmatyar and Osama Bin Laden—both men who ran militant groups that fought against American forces later on.

Bin Laden himself would become disenfranchised by the United States and use Afghanistan as a base to launch attacks against Americans, with the most infamous being the September 11th Attacks. The attacks would lead to America’s longest war in history and the overall Global War on Terrorism that has affected hundreds of millions of people.

Operation Cyclone and its consequences ultimately set the stage for reviewing other potential training and arming missions in the region. Several decades later, the financial backing of Syrian rebels, some of which had ties to al-Qaeda, would also come under criticism.

Overall, risky foreign policy decisions can result in not only negative international feedback but also blowback against the national security apparatus as well. Though the country continues to go through geopolitical shifts, it is of the utmost importance to mitigate these types of risks and blowback that could be detrimental to the United States.

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