There have been mixed reports about the actual status of Russian precision-guided missiles and whether Russia still has stocks of them amid their losing invasion of Ukraine, which is about to enter its fourth month. Recent intel from the US and the UK have claimed that the Russians have burned through their own stocks of precision-guided missiles and that their arsenal is severely depleted.

“We do assess that they (Russia) are running through their precision-guided missiles at a pretty fast clip,” Pentagon Spokesman John Kirby said. “We know that in Mariupol, for instance, their use of munitions has migrated from almost all precision-guided to a significant number of what we would call dumb bombs, non-precision-guided munitions.”

Furthermore, the British Defense Ministry also stated that the Russians would likely struggle to replace their precision weaponry as it had already been expended. They concluded that the Russians were running out of precision-guided missiles as the Russian forces had been bombing Ukraine with little to no regard for civilian casualties, revealing that they may be using these “dumb bombs” that Kirby had been referring to.

The city of Rubizhne bombed by the Russian forces (Факти ICTV). Source:
The city of Rubizhne was bombed by the Russian forces (Факти ICTV/Twitter))

However, Russia was quick to dispel these claims made by the West. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov stated that they should have run out of missiles in March.

“The military-industrial complex supplies our army with all the necessary range of missiles in the required volumes. The stocks of modern high-precision missiles and ammunition are enough to fulfill all the tasks assigned to the Russian Armed Forces,” he claimed.

The Deputy Prime Minister also refuted Kirby’s claims that they had been using “dumb bombs,” saying that they were able to “hit military infrastructure facilities throughout Ukraine with high accuracy and thereby minimize civilian casualties.”

However, this seems like a flat-out lie. SOFREP reported on March 26 that US intel found that Russian missiles had a failure rate as high as 60%, which iis simply terrible.  In the US we want missiles that are “Fire and Forget” in terms of reliability, not “Fire and Cross Your Fingers” as it appears with Russian quality.  So if you are a Russian general trying to attack a target, you would have to be prepared to expend several missiles hoping one of them would hit their target.

That being said, is Russia actually running out of precision-guided missiles to fire at Ukraine? There are signs telling us that they.