Mitigating the Threat from Low Signature Weapons:
The Lesson of the Havana Syndrome
As wars are being fought in new and innovative ways, a crisis like in Ukraine makes it evident that the fifth-generation of warfare is upon us and promises to be the most lethal and destructive in history. As we enter this generation, it is clear that traditional kinetic military action will take a backseat to non-kinetic action, such as social engineering, misinformation, and cyberattacks.
With emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and fully autonomous systems, we will wade deep into a threat environment where indicators, signposts, trends, and even attacks are increasingly difficult to detect, as has been the case with the “Havana Syndrome.”
Some of the better-known fifth-generation weapons that are being developed include laser weapons, plasma weapons, electromagnetic pulse weapons, and directed energy weapons. Each of these weapons, as a standalone, has the potential to revolutionize warfare as we know it let
alone when an adversary becomes capable of employing multiple types at once. So far, we have viewed these types of weapons as prototypes still in the development stages. However, unexplained cases resulting from the Havana Syndrome experienced by our Diplomatic, Intelligence, and Military officers suggest we are in the era where the fifth-generation weapons are already operational and are being tested and deployed against us as low signature weapons.
As a quick background, starting in November 2020, several U.S. Diplomats in Havana, Cuba, reported experiencing health problems that were later determined to be the result of exposure to some type of sonic weapon. The term coined for these anomalies became the Havana Syndrome, and since, similar cases have been reported by U.S. Government personnel in several countries, including Austria, China, India, Russia, and Spain, and even in our nation’s capital, Washington D.C. While these attacks are believed to have been carried out by some type of directed energy weapon, the exact weapon used–and the actor who deployed the weapon–is still unknown. On June 24, 2022, the Biden Administration announced compensation for those with proven side effects, primarily cognitive effects, from the Havana Syndrome. For the first time, the announcement highlighted the U.S. Government taking ownership that these persons may have been injured due to their service.
Directed Energy Weapons are Hard to Defeat Without Detection Systems
In a world of increasingly sophisticated weaponry, low signature weapons give our adversaries a vital advantage not just in the city environments where the Havana Syndrome cases were most evident but on the battlefield. Low signature weapons are designed to minimize their visibility to our detection systems, making them increasingly difficult to track and target. Even when just reviewing the root cause of the Havana Syndrome, our Intelligence Community could not agree on a clear answer nor which persons were indeed affected by such a weapon. It may be due to intelligence gaps, as when reviewing the properties of a directed energy weapon, its stealth design does not leave all the signatures necessary for a detailed battle damage assessment of the situation. Thus, this ambiguity gives our enemy a critical advantage in various environments, particularly in combat, as these weapons are much more difficult to detect, making them ideal for covert operations. They also don’t emit noise and light, making it difficult to pinpoint their position and the origin of an attack. Low signature weapons can also be more effective in close quarters situations, as they are less likely to cause collateral damage due to being able to closely direct
the focus of its energy at the target.