Ukrainian forces have also reportedly utilized drone strikes against Russian airbases, potentially catching Su-34s on the ground and vulnerable.
Russia Adapts Tactics with Long-Range Missiles
In response, Russia appears to be adapting its tactics.
Recent reports indicate the deployment of Su-34s equipped with longer-range glide bombs and cruise missiles. This allows the bombers to strike targets from a safer distance, potentially mitigating further losses.
But Can Russia Sustain These Losses?
The war in Ukraine has undoubtedly morphed into a war of attrition, with both sides enduring significant casualties in personnel and equipment.
Russia’s larger industrial base allows it to replace lost Su-34s to a certain degree, but the exact rate of production remains unclear.
Furthermore, pilot training for these complex aircraft is a lengthy and resource-intensive process, meaning lost crews cannot be easily replaced.
These are the indicative estimates of Russia’s combat losses as of June 28, according to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/x1LNxSbwul
— The Kyiv Independent (@KyivIndependent) June 28, 2024
Uncertain Future for Russia’s Airpower
The long-term sustainability of Su-34 losses remains a major question mark for Russia.
While the Kremlin continues to hold significant territory in eastern Ukraine, its initial ambitions of a swift victory have been dashed.
The ability to maintain air superiority and effectively deploy its remaining Su-34s will be crucial for Russia’s future actions in the conflict.
For Ukraine, continued advancements in air defense capabilities and potentially acquiring longer-range weaponry from Western allies could further tip the scales in its favor.
Su-34 Losses: A Microcosm of Wider Challenges
The Su-34 losses are a microcosm of Russia’s wider challenges in Ukraine.
While its larger military possesses a significant advantage in raw power, Western support for Ukraine and Russia’s own logistical and tactical shortcomings have hampered its progress.
The coming months will likely see a continued struggle for air dominance, with the fate of the Su-34 potentially playing a pivotal role in shaping the course of the war.
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Disclaimer: SOFREP utilizes AI for image generation and article research. Occasionally, it’s like handing a chimpanzee the keys to your liquor cabinet. It’s not always perfect and if a mistake is made, we own up to it full stop. In a world where information comes at us in tidal waves, it is an important tool that helps us sift through the brass for live rounds.
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