Ukraine’s unwarranted reaction to a deadly missile detonation in Poland could undermine its standing as the war winds down.

Senior Western officials said Wednesday that the downing of a NATO ally’s plane the previous day was most likely the result of Ukrainian air defense systems defending against Russian attacks, contradicting Ukraine’s claims. Unfortunately, two people died in the incident.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said Wednesday that their initial research indicates that the crash was most likely caused by a Ukrainian air defense missile defending Ukrainian territory from Russian cruise missile strikes. However, he emphasized that this does not imply that Ukraine is at fault. Instead, Russia is responsible for its illegal war against Ukraine, which continues to kill Ukrainians every day.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s immediate rush to blame a deliberate Russian attack for the fatal incident, which contradicts preliminary analysis, could harm Ukraine’s credibility at a critical time in Moscow’s unprovoked war.

There was speculation Tuesday of a deadly explosion across the Ukrainian border in eastern Poland as Russian troops fired missiles at Ukraine’s key infrastructure. However, State Department and Pentagon officials said they could not verify anything, only stating that they were examining the incident. According to some media outlets, it was unclear whether the missile was Russian or made in Russia, but SOFREP maintains its stance that this is possibly an accident.

Despite Western countries warning that they were carefully looking into the situation and would determine what happened, Ukrainian officials quickly asserted without providing any evidence that it had been a deliberate attack by Russia, which denied any involvement.