According to the Russian Defense Ministry Press Service and Associated Press, the Russian nuclear submarine Tula is seen here as it gets ready to carry out a simulated launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile.

According to a recent Norwegian intelligence report, Russia will likely expand its presence in the Barents Sea and Atlantic Ocean in 2021, with more extended submarine deployments [1].

On Feb. 13, the Norwegian Intelligence Service put out its yearly document in which it noted that Russia is utilizing its Northern Fleet more and more to give a regional deterrent.

The report declared that the Northern Fleet’s naval forces are set to persist in performing regular flotilla drills while increasing the length of submarine patrols in the Barents Sea and executing submarine operations in the Atlantic. Moreover, acquiring new hushed multi-purpose submarines augments the fleet’s capacity in the Norwegian Sea and the Atlantic.

According to the Russian Defence Ministry, the fleet currently has six ballistic missile submarines in action, with one undergoing repair and three in the process of being built. Additionally, four cruise missile submarines are active, plus three more are in the works.

Pavel Luzin, a visiting scholar of Tufts University’s Russia and Eurasia Program, pointed out that Russia is completely revising its maritime strategy in response to Sweden and Finland’s aspirations of joining NATO.

The nuclear submarine Kazan has arrived at a permanent base in the Northern Fleet. (Source: Ministry of Defense of Russia/Wikimedia Commons)

Luzin stated to Defense News that the Baltic Fleet would become ineffectual, and in contrast, Moscow would attempt to make the Northern Fleet stronger and search for methods to answer NATO in an unbalanced way.

The Norwegian report also suggested that the Northern Fleet’s aircraft inventory will remain the same and proceed with its operations as usual. Additionally, the report said that due to Russia’s strategic bombers being concentrated on the Ukrainian invasion, Norway would likely observe fewer of those aircraft near their border.