The war in Ukraine has certainly gone past everybody’s expectations, with the Ukrainian Armed Forces fending off the initial Russian advance to Kyiv and has held off significant pushes by the Russian forces in the east. However, it seems like the prolonged war is taking a toll on Ukrainian troops. They suffer massive losses of 200 deaths per day, and morale decreases after being outgunned in terms of artillery and ammunition.
Western intelligence obtained by The Independent claim that the situation in Eastern Ukraine has taken a turn for the worst for the Ukrainians. These sources indicate that the Ukrainian forces are taking 100 losses a day due to the new conditions of the war, being centrally focused on artillery shelling and slow advances.
Intel suggests that the Ukrainians are finding it challenging to find an answer to Russian shelling as they are outgunned 20 to 1 in artillery and 40 to 1 in ammunition. Furthermore, Ukrainian artillery has a range of roughly 15.5 miles, while Russian artillery can attack them from 12 times this distance. Russian forces have a huge range advantage in terms of artillery fire, with the Ukrainians finding it difficult to get into firing range as they may lose their artillery guns along with more soldiers in the process of moving into firing positions.
Furthermore, the intel report states that the Ukrainians have almost completely run out of missiles for their Smerch MLRS and Uragan MLRS. These weapon systems have a range of up to 50 miles. Their 152mm and 155mm caliber artillery can only reach up to 15.5 miles. In comparison, the Russian forces have missiles that can hit them from 186 miles away through the use of Iskander ballistic missiles, as well as their very own Smerch MLRS, Tochka-U, that both have a range of up to 50 miles, and their Uragan MLRS.