One month after Ukraine started their counterattack in Kherson, the Ukrainian Ground Forces are now having difficulty pushing Russian forces back.

Both parties are reportedly deadlocked, with Kherson being the most pivotal location in the war. Ukraine has made progress in cutting down supply routes for Russia and isolating its forces in the northern and southern parts of Kherson. Still, recent Russian advances in the eastern Donetsk region pushed them back.

Some experts believe the standstill is caused by exhaustion, with the war waging on its 24th week.

“Given how much attrition the Russians have suffered, the most they can hope for is to take the rest of Donetsk. I don’t think they have the capacity to take Mykolaiv, let alone Odesa,” Panagiotis Gartzonikas, a former armored division commander in the Hellenic Army and lecturer at Greece’s National Defence College, told Al Jazeera.

“The Ukrainians, with the rocket artillery they’ve received, have achieved some goals, but I think they cannot take Kherson … The Russians are south of the Dnipro river and the Ukrainians north. To take Kherson they have to cross the Dnieper, which involves a lot of things apart from rocket artillery.”

In the last 24 hours, the Ukrainian Ground Forces (UGF) have been preparing to free the southern part of Kherson, where Russian occupiers are trying to settle down. The current strategy reportedly holds really high risks for the UGF, but if they’re successful, they could fully retake Kherson in the coming weeks.

Volodymyr Zelensky
Official portrait of Volodymyr Zelensky (Source: / Wikimedia)

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky repeatedly emphasized the importance of retaking Kherson, and Ukrainian military leaders continued to bombard Russian forces with advanced artillery. However, the UGF understands the mission is highly complex, especially since they would need three times their current force to launch a confrontation that would ultimately push Russian troops out of Kherson.

They’re looking at an alternative to bait Russians in a while using high-precision artillery like the HIMARS.